Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing $40,000 this week as “Dogefather” Elon Musk offers out pure ache to hodlers — what’s subsequent?

After a traumatic weekend for a lot of crypto buyers, Monday is setting the stage for the following chapter within the wild 2021 bull market.

Cointlegraph takes a have a look at 5 components which might form what Bitcoin and altcoins do subsequent.

Musk tweet hits key Bitcoin technical stage

It’s all about one man but once more this week: Elon Musk. In attribute style, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO prompted uproar on Twitter when he got here out bearish on Bitcoin.

BTC/USD offered off instantly on information that Tesla was halting BTC funds for its merchandise, however for Musk, this was not sufficient.

Additional tweets over the weekend, together with criticism of Bitcoin’s decentralization and the way he “believes in crypto,” added gas to the hearth.

It was a touch that Tesla could already be planning to promote its holdings, nonetheless, that prompted essentially the most distress. Bitcoin fell to close $42,000, retesting this earlier all-time excessive stage earlier than steadying as Musk burdened that no sale had occurred.

“To make clear hypothesis, Tesla has not offered any Bitcoin,” he wrote on Monday.

BTC/USD chart with Twitter occasions highlighted. Supply: Twitter

With Musk versus the cryptocurrency neighborhood starting to appear to be a full on battle, Bitcoin is thus unsurprisingly unstable as all eyes stay on the Twitter battlefield.

On the time of writing, Bitcoin was buying and selling at round $44,800, nonetheless down 8.7% over the previous 24 hours.

As analyst Alex Krueger famous, nonetheless, the clarifitication tweet could also be unwittingly performing as a native backside sign, as Musk posted it simply as BTC/USD hit a key 61.8 Fibonacci retracement stage.

“Elon Musk have to be an excellent technical analyst,” he commented.

“His ‘Tesla has not offered any Bitcoin’ tweet was posted precisely at Bitcoin’s key technical stage, the 61.8 fib ($42,845).”

BTC dominance falls beneath 40%

Musk’s actions have had a detrimental affect on Bitcoin and altcoins alike.

Regardless of persevering with to reward Dogecoin (DOGE), even the meme-based token did not keep away from losses over the weekend, with nearly all of large-cap altcoins following Bitcoin down.

There have been some much less important losses, akin to these of Cardano (ADA), which on Saturday was nonetheless bucking the general downtrend to even submit new all-time highs.

By way of bearishness, nonetheless, nothing exhibits how a lot the common Bitcoin holder is struggling like market dominance.

On Monday, Bitcoin’s total market cap share dipped beneath 40% for the primary time since June 2018.

Bitcoin market cap dominance chart. Supply: CoinMarketCap

Already on the best way out, dominance was dealt a big blow because of the current Bitcoin worth strain, whereas alts akin to Ether (ETH) benefitted.

“The Bitcoin dominance remains to be falling,” fashionable Twitter dealer The Moon summarized over the weekend.

“The alt season will not be over but. However my intestine feeling is that the tip is close to!”

Bitcoin fundamentals present calm

For all of the nerveracking worth motion, in the meantime, nothing gives a bullish counterpoint to the present Bitcoin narrative than its community fundamentals.

Even after its $42,000 dip, Bitcoin is extra enticing than ever for miners, and its community safety is subsequently additionally extra stable than ever earlier than.

As Cointelegraph reported, each hash price and problem have staged a miraculous restoration in current weeks, reclaiming all-time highs after a miner washout prompted its personal transient worth crash.

The weekend proved to be no completely different, with weekly common hash price topping 180 exahashes per second (EH/s) for the primary time.

Bitcoin 7-day common hash price chart. Supply: Blockchain

Issue remains to be on observe to extend by over 10% on the subsequent automated readjustment in 11 days’ time. The earlier readjustment on Might 14, at 21.5%, was the biggest optimistic shift since June 2014.

“Bitcoin’s mining problem hitting an all-time excessive simply after tesla’s announcement is a chef’s kiss,” Alex Thorn, head of firmwide analysis at crypto service provider financial institution Galaxy Digital, mentioned final week.

Greenback bounces at help

Taking a break for crypto-specific triggers, the broader macro image could but present some inspiration for worth trajectory.

After plunging late final week, the energy of the U.S. greenback is returning. The U.S. greenback forex index (DXY) is bouncing off acquainted help — surges in its energy tends to supply teething issues for BTC/USD.

U.S. greenback forex index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Supply: Tradingview

On the similar time, shares are bullish in China however performing averagely in Europe and the U.S. Coronavirus, with localized peaks in some jurisdictions however fewer circumstances in others, joins the melting pot.

Amongst merchants, nonetheless, it’s inflation that may be a key difficulty. A broad international rebound from the time of lockdowns and different restrictions creates issues for these making an attempt to engineer it — particularly, the U.S. Federal Reserve and different central banks.

“The worldwide financial restoration is effectively underneath manner; that’s what’s fueling the inflation fears,” Olivier d’Assier, Qontigo head of APAC utilized analysis, instructed Bloomberg.

After inventory markets’ rip roaring yr, he added, urge for food for revenue taking can be understandably growing.

Bitcoin nonetheless beats its final bull market

Is it 2013 or 2017 when it comes to the Bitcoin bull market?

Among the many trade’s best-known names, there isn’t a trace of bearishness — all that continues to be to do is analyze the character of the present retracement and evaluate it to years previous.

This week, stock-to-flow creator PlanB notes that for all of the Musk drama, Bitcoin remains to be performing higher than throughout its 2017 run to $20,000. This regardless of the $42,000 dip formally being Bitcoin’s largest this bull cycle and because the cross-asset crash of March 2020.

“At present appears like 2017 bull market (esp. in the course of the fork battle),” he tweeted on Monday, invoking recollections of the delivery of Bitcoin Money (BCH).

“It is not a straight line to the following ATH, however a variety of volatility (a number of -30% dips). HODL.”

BTC/USD stock-to-flow chart as of Might 17, 2021. Supply: Digitalik

Calling for calm and zooming out is a key function amongst seasoned Bitcoiners. As Cointelegraph reported final week, stock-to-flow stays unviolated by Musk or another episode of downward volatility.

An accompanying survey in the meantime revealed {that a} majority of 35,000 respondents consider that BTC/USD will nonetheless hit $100,000 this yr.